Bulgaria vs Iceland

Bulgaria face Iceland in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 5) on Friday 13 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UTC at Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv.

Bulgaria are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Iceland are 1st with 8. That leaves Iceland 4 points ahead.

Bulgaria have scored 3 and conceded 5 in their last 4 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1.

Bulgaria come into this fixture with a recent record of 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, while Iceland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the same window. Bulgaria currently sit 3rd on 4 points, with Iceland placed 1st on 8 points. The away side is favoured for this fixture, backing the Iceland win. The Away Win selection (2) is assigned a 52.63% probability at odds of 1.9.

• Iceland have the better recent form (8 pts vs 4 pts from the last 5 matches).
• League positions: Bulgaria 3rd, Iceland 1st.
• Bulgaria have won 0 of 2 home matches in this competition.
• Iceland have won 1 of 2 away matches in this competition.
• Market rationale: the model favours the away side.

• Iceland away from home: 1 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from 2 games.
• Bulgaria have taken 4 points from their last 4 matches.