FC Porto vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips

UEFA Champions League
Nov 04, 2026 20:00
FC Porto

FC Porto

L L W W W
20:00
Not started
Napoli

Napoli

L W D W L
Estádio do Dragão Michael Oliver

Expert Prediction

Market
Over 1.5 Goals
Our Tip
Over 1.5
Probability
80.65%
Odds
1.24

FC Porto vs Napoli Preview

FC Porto face Napoli in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 4) on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC at Estádio do Dragão, Porto.

FC Porto are 35th with 0 points from 3 games, while Napoli are 24th with 3. That leaves Napoli 3 points ahead.

At home this season FC Porto average 0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; on the road Napoli average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded. FC Porto have kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times; Napoli have 0 clean sheets and 1 blank.

FC Porto have scored 8 and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, with 2 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 1. Napoli have scored 11 and conceded 10 in their last 5 matches, with 3 going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in 3.

Prediction Analysis

FC Porto come into this fixture with a recent record of 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, while Napoli have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the same window. FC Porto currently sit 35th on 0 points, with Napoli placed 24th on 3 points. The model favours goals in this fixture, supporting the Over 1.5 selection. The Over 1.5 Goals selection (Over 1.5) is assigned a 80.65% probability at odds of 1.24.

Key Match Factors

  • FC Porto have the better recent form (9 pts vs 7 pts from the last 5 matches).
  • FC Porto have scored 2 goals this season compared with 5 for Napoli.
  • Defensively, FC Porto have conceded 6 and Napoli have conceded 7.
  • League positions: FC Porto 35th, Napoli 24th.
  • FC Porto have won 0 of 2 home matches in this competition.
  • Napoli have won 0 of 1 away matches in this competition.

Why We Tip Over 1.5

  • FC Porto matches average 2.7 total goals this season and Napoli matches 4.0.
  • 2 of FC Porto's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.
  • 4 of Napoli's last 5 matches went over 1.5 goals.

Recent Results

FC Porto — last 5
Oct 31, 2026 vs Estoril 4-0 W
Oct 28, 2026 vs Academico Viseu 1-0 W
Oct 24, 2026 @ GIL Vicente 0-1 W
Oct 20, 2026 vs PSV Eindhoven 0-1 L
Oct 14, 2026 @ Real Betis 3-2 L
Napoli — last 5
Nov 01, 2026 @ Juventus 2-0 L
Oct 28, 2026 @ Monza 1-4 W
Oct 24, 2026 vs AS Roma 3-3 D
Oct 20, 2026 vs Bodo/Glimt 4-3 W
Oct 17, 2026 @ Venezia 1-0 L

FC Porto vs Napoli FAQ

What is the FC Porto vs Napoli prediction?

Our tip is Over 1.5 (Over 1.5 Goals), with a probability of 80.65% at odds of 1.24.

When is FC Porto vs Napoli?

Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 UTC, in the UEFA Champions League, at Estádio do Dragão.

Discussion

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Team Stats

3 Matches Played 3
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
3 Losses 2
2 Goals For 5
6 Goals Against 7

League Standings — UEFA Champions League

# Team MP W D L G PTS
1 Paris Saint Germain logo Paris Saint Germain 4 4 0 0 20:5 12
2 Barcelona logo Barcelona 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Aston Villa logo Aston Villa 4 3 0 1 12:6 9
4 Liverpool logo Liverpool 3 3 0 0 12:7 9
5 Real Madrid logo Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 10:5 9
6 Sporting CP logo Sporting CP 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
7 Real Betis logo Real Betis 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
8 Bayern München logo Bayern München 4 2 2 0 12:5 8
9 Arsenal logo Arsenal 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
10 VfB Stuttgart logo VfB Stuttgart 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
11 Como logo Como 3 2 0 1 10:5 6
12 Manchester City logo Manchester City 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
13 Club Brugge KV logo Club Brugge KV 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
14 Inter logo Inter 4 2 0 2 8:6 6
15 Lask Linz logo Lask Linz 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
16 Borussia Dortmund logo Borussia Dortmund 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
17 Manchester United logo Manchester United 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
18 Galatasaray logo Galatasaray 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
19 AS Roma logo AS Roma 4 1 1 2 10:8 4
20 Shakhtar Donetsk logo Shakhtar Donetsk 4 1 1 2 4:4 4